Posts tagged JaysProspects

Overvaluing your own…

3
1 week ago
by 5thStarter in

 

Are Blue Jays fans over-valuing Noah Syndergaard?

It’s funny that I’m writing this on a prospect-focused site, but I think some perspective is in order. Prospect valuations have gotten out of control. Not necessarily at the professional level, where this offseason has seen a trend toward lower prospect values (4-for-1 trades were the norm). However, among fans, prospects have gained legendary status before ever reaching the majors. (*Note that I’m as guilty as anyone, and I’m presenting Noah Syndergaard with his Cy Young Award in my mind already…)

Here’s some sobering facts about prospects: Year over year, pitching prospects continue to have a >30% failure rate. Over 50% never produce more than 2 WAR in a given season. Top hitting prospects have a 10% failure rate, and again, over 50% never contribute more than 2 WAR per year. Effectively, what I’m telling you is: “That prospect you like? They’ll be lucky to be a replacement-level player.” Remember that next time someone proposes a trade involving prospects.

The problem is further compounded when attaching a draft-status to a given player. First-round picks only make it to the majors about 30% of the time (Look it up) and of those, less than 10% are ever all-stars. Every other major sport would laugh at that kind of success rate. MLB has addressed some of this discrepancy with the new draft system, but it will be years before we see if that properly values draft position. (more…)

Interview with newly-acquired first-baseman, Gabe Jacobo, and his wife, Tanne

5
2 weeks ago
by April Whitzman in ,

 

While Gabe Jacobo was drafted by the Angels in the 10th round of the 2008 Draft, he joined the Blue Jays organization this year in the Rule 5 Draft

This past December, the Toronto Blue Jays were fortunate to be able to grab first baseman, Gabe Jacobo, in the Rule 5 Draft from the Los Angeles Angels. Being new to the organization, JaysProspects was very fortunate to be able to sit down with not only the strong prospect, but also his wife, Tanne, who both discussed Gabe’s baseball journey thus far.

Jacobo was drafted in the 10th round of the 2008 MLB Draft by the Los Angeles Angels, a professional team only a few hours from his hometown of Visalia, California. “Being drafted by any MLB team has always been a dream of mine. So when a team in my home state picked me it was pretty exciting, but at the same time I realized I would be all over the country until eventually playing in California,” Jacobo said.

Jacobo was right about the needed travel as he started with the Angels in Orem Utah and with the Cedar Rapids (A) in Iowa. Collectively that year he posted a .324 average in 70 games, recording 28 doubles, three triples, 10 homeruns and 56 RBIS.

“I really enjoyed my first year in pro ball with the Angels. I would say that my most memorable moment would be my first at bat, when I hit a homerun on the first pitch. That is something I will never forget.” (more…)

Interview with Taylor Cole: Right-Hander Now on a Different ‘Mission’

4
1 month ago
by April Whitzman in ,

Taylor Cole was drafted by the Toronto Blue Jays in the 29th round of the 2011 draft (photo credit: Vancouver Canadians)

While Taylor Cole was drafted by the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2007 and the Arizona Diamondbacks in 2008, he joined the Blue Jays’ organization in 2011 after being selected in the 29th round.

Cole admitted that he did not sign in 2007 as he felt he would greatly benefit from playing college ball. In 2008, he also mentioned that he decided to bypass the draft and serve on a mission, which, interestingly enough, was in Toronto, Ontario.

In fact, Cole’s two-year mission was initiated thanks to advice from Baltimore Orioles’ Jeremy Guthrie. Cole told JaysProspects: “After my first year in college, at the age of 19, I served a two-year mission for my church in, of all places, Toronto Canada.  I have grown to love Canada from both serving my mission in Toronto and playing my first year of pro ball in Vancouver.  Serving the mission was a very difficult time, but I know that it was the right thing to do for me at that time in my life.”

After his mission, Cole returned back to the game, attending Brigham Young University, a school that combines both the importance of church and athletics. There, as a softmore, he posted a 5-5 record with a 2.99 ERA. “BYU was a great school in which I spent the first year back from my mission,” Cole stated. “It was a good transition because they were able to help me get back in baseball shape because they deal with return missionaries coming home each year.  I am grateful for the time spent there and the lifelong friends that I made.” (more…)

Interview with Wes Etheridge: From ‘Saviour’ to ‘Saver’

4
1 month ago
by April Whitzman in ,

While Wes Etheridge was drafted by the Brewers in 2007, he joined the Toronto Blue Jays this past season

Wes Etheridge followed many paths on his journey to the Toronto Blue Jays’ organization. It included being drafted by the Brewers in the 12th round of the 2007 draft, changing career paths to become a youth pastor, then re-pursuing his career in baseball and joining the Maui Independent League, before finally joining the Blue Jays’ organization this past season. Etheridge sat down with JaysProspects to discuss his exciting but challenging journey back to professional baseball.

Etheridge admitted that when he had heard he was drafted by the Brewers in the 12th round of the 2007 draft, he was playing in a game for his college team.  “I was in a super-regional, so I wasn’t able to get to spend it with my family, but my dad was at the super regional so that was cool having him there because he taught me how to play.” he said. “I remember being excited mostly because I didn’t have to go to school anymore and I always figured it was pretty amazing being able to play a sport and get paid for it.”

Etheridge joined the Brewers’ organization in 2008 playing both rookie-ball and A-ball, where he posted a 0-1 record with four saves and a 5.00ERA. In 36 innings, he struck out 30 and walked only nine. When asked which of his pitches enable him to find such success on the mound, the right-handed replied, “I basically just throw a sinking fastball.  Every once and a while I will throw a breaking ball but mainly just my sinker.” (more…)

The Inbox – January 12th

5
1 month ago
by Doug Plourd in

After posting the first edition of the Inbox, a slew of fantastic questions came flying in, thus a quick turnaround on volume 2. A couple of notes before we get started:

1) I am not close enough to the “pulse of the front office” to give valid opinions or speculation on rehabbing players. I can only write about what I hear, and chances are, if I have heard it, you have too.

2) Keep the questions coming! I have a few I held back for forthcoming columns, but the more I get, the more topics we can cover in short form.

3) Thank you, one and all, for the incredible page view numbers on the Callis 140. I was astounded to hear how many hits the site had in the hours after the interview went up, and I have to thank each and every one of you for making that happen.

Ok, onto some questions.

Many wonder where Kyle Drabek fits in the rotation in 2012

From Keith via the Comments Section:
Would love to get your perspective on Drabek. I know 2011 was a disaster for Drabek, but it seems like people have just written him off completely. But he was our top prospect last year and has some of the best pure stuff on the team. I have not hearda peep about how his offseason training has gone or what the team is looking for from him in 2012. It seems he has dropped in the depth chart and likely will not make the team. He is even being talked about in trades. The way I see it is no team gets by with 5 starters any more. You need 7+ guys in any season. With Alvarez and McGowan on innings limits, we will need a Drabek to compete. What have you heard about Drabek and what do realistically see as happening with him in 2012. (more…)

The Inbox – January 8th

9
1 month ago
by Doug Plourd in

Welcome to the first edition of “The Inbox,” in what may look like an exercise in vanity (Ask ME! I am an EXPERT!) is actually just a way to make writing a column a little easier. I have noticed in my months writing for JaysProspects that the Toronto Blue Jays fan base is not only rabid and eager for the team’s success, but is also very knowledgeable as well. So, by you asking smart questions, I get to write about topics in smaller doses. (And without having to, you know, come up with the ideas!) So with that, let’s get to some questions:

From Ryan Mueller (via the comments section)

I have read rumors of Pineda being shopped. He was not linked to TO but I would think that he would be someone AA would look at. Young, controllable, and a high ceiling. This is a guy who could turn into a another Felix or just as easily another Morrow (at least what he is today). He is younger and better than both Latos and Gio but I would think he could be had for similar packages. Both Latos and Gio where traded for the other teams 3, 4, and 9 or 10th ranked prospects. If the Jays made a similar trade what do you think it would look like? (more…)

Jays Prospects Myles Jaye and Daniel Webb traded for familiar face

0
1 month ago
by April Whitzman in

Jason Frasor was reacquired by the Blue Jays in a trade that sent two Blue Jays' prospects to Chicago

There is no denying that Blue Jays fans felt a hole in their bullpen when Jason Frasor was traded to the Chicago White Sox in July last season in a deal that included former prospect, Zach Stewart.

Recognizing this, Blue Jays’ GM, Alex Anthopoulos knew that reacquiring the 31-year old right-hander would fill a hole in their bullpen.

But at what cost?

Being sent to Chicago are two prospects – Myles Jaye and Daniel Webb.

Myles Jaye: Only 20 years old, Jaye played in his first professional season this year with the Bluefield Blue Jays after being selected in the 17th round of the 2010 draft. This past season he posted a 3-3 record with a 3.00ERA. In over 54 innings pitched, the young right-hander struck out 49 while only walked 18 batters.

Daniel Webb: Drafted in the 18th round of the 2009 MLB Draft, Webb began his career in 2010 with the Auburn DoubleDays and the Lansing Lugnuts. This year, while he stated in the Gulf Coast League, Webb finished his year with the Lansing Lugnuts, where he posted a 4-5 record with a 5.59 ERA. In two years with the organization, Webb has stated in 27 of his 34 appearances and maintained a 5.11 ERA.

Daniel Webb was one of the two prospects being sent to Chicago for Jason Frasor. He posted a 4-5 record with a 5.59 ERA this past season with Lansing

And what do the Blue Jays get in return?

In return, the Blue Jays are receiving a reliable reliever that has shown through his time in Toronto that he can get the job done. He also comes at a decent price as the WhiteSox had recently picked up his 3.75 million option for the 2012 season.

Before being traded to the Whitesox, Frasor became the franchise leader in games pitched with 455 appearances and had appeared in 44 games for the Jays, posting a 2-1 record with a 2.98 ERA. He has a career record of 24-28 with 36 saves and an ERA of 3.69 with the Blue Jays.

With that said, JaysProspects looks forward to having Frasor increase his lead in appearances as a Blue Jay and we welcome him back to the club. In addition, we wish both Myles Jaye and Daniel Webb the best of luck with their new clubs.

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